John Peacock FRS
Professor of Cosmology
Head of the Institute for Astronomy, University of Edinburgh
Most scientists today live in a form of denial; we know that human
existence faces huge problems in the very near future, and yet we mostly
ignore these. We continue to work on scientific topics selected simply by
personal interest, and we continue this indulgence with our
carbon-intensive lifestyles, flying off to the latest conferences. But
David MacKay has shown his colleagues how it should be done, and applied
his intellect to dissect the question of how we can possibly obtain the
energy to continue to live as we have done. This is a wonderfully
clear-eyed book, which slays the myths and wishful thinking that obscure
the main issues in energy sustainability. It doesn't preach, but it forces
the reader to think honestly about the energy we use, and what changes of
lifestyle would be needed to match various possible sources of supply. The
conclusions are in many ways depressing, in that a typical British
lifestyle uses far more energy than can realistically be supplied by
"nice" sources such as hydroelectric power. This leads the argument in
some controversial directions, such as nuclear power. Many readers will
place greater weight than MacKay on the possibility of an off-scale
disaster such as a further Chernobyl, but the main thing is to be clear
about the facts: as MacKay says, "I'm not trying to be pro-nuclear. I'm
just pro-arithmetic." This quote sums up the tone of the book perfectly:
at every turn, we are given a lucid (and often humorous) dissection of the
limitations of a given source of energy, and it is then left to the reader
to decide how things should add up. A particularly nice feature is that
the book is supplemented by a series of appendices that explore the
basic physics of energy generation. So we can see from first principles
why flying will never get much more efficient, and that in the long term
we will have to learn to do without it. In the end, this is what makes the
book inspiring rather than depressing: the sheer intellectual curiosity to
understand how things work has given us the problems of the technological
society, but it also gives us the tools to see the possible ways out.
Everyone has a duty to engage with these issues, and David MacKay's
beautifully written book will help both general readers and scientists
come to terms with what has to be done.
John Peacock FRS
Professor of Cosmology
Head of the Institute for Astronomy, University of Edinburgh
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