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Why is global climate change action scarcely happening?
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Why is global climate change action scarcely happening?
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Why is global climate change action scarcely happening?
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Why is global climate change action scarcely happening?
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Why is global climate change action scarcely happening?
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Why is global climate change action scarcely happening?
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Why is global climate change action scarcely happening?
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ParisDo individual commitments & review lead to an “upward spiral of ambition over time”? |
"The most powerful driving force is the self-interest of every country." |
– Christina Figueres, Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC |
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"The most powerful driving force [is] the self-interest of every country." |
– Christina Figueres, Executive Secretary of the UNFCCC |
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Christiana FigueresExecutive Secretary of the UNFCCCThe driving force behind the pledges is simply “the self-interest of every country” and their pledges are “not because they want to save the planet.” |
CBS Interview, October 2015 |
The science of cooperation |
Dynamics of individual commitments: “Upward spiral of ambition”?No.
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The key to cooperation is reciprocity
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The UK already has policies equivalent to high carbon prices
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NB: Some people don't like the UK's climate policies because "what's the point if others don't"; so the reciprocal carbon price commitment should appeal to them. The UK already has a carbon floor priceIn the budget of 23 March 2011 the Chancellor announced the floor would start in April 2013 at about £25/tonne and rise steadily to £30/t in 2020 and £70/t by 2030. |
Summary | ||
Negotiations can be designed to realign self-interests and promote cooperation.
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Self-interest | Individual commitments and reviews will not solve the tragedy of the commons. | |
Reciprocity | A common commitment ("I will if you will") can. | |
Don't negotiate Caps | Emission quantity caps cannot support a strong agreement. | |
Negotiate Price | A global carbon-price commitment could yield a strong treaty. | |
Green Climate Fund | Coupled climate-fund transfers can encourage poor countries to support a high carbon price. |
Summary | ||
Negotiations can be designed to realign self-interests and promote cooperation. | ||
Reciprocity |
Individual commitments and reviews will not solve the tragedy of the commons. A common commitment ("I will if you will") can. | |
Negotiate Price | A global carbon-price commitment could yield a strong treaty, especially if coupled to Green Fund transfers, incentivizing low-emitting countries to support a high carbon price. |
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Why climate change action is difficult(at least, while low-carbon technologies are more expensive than fossil fuels)8. The atmosphere is a commons9. Solutions must be fair |
Negotiate a common carbon pricegiving a predictable priceand with compensation for poorer peopleNOT caps. NOT global cap and trade. |
DECC/Met Office, adapted from IPCC 5th Assessment Report (2013)
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History confirms | |
Almost everyone agrees | |
Paris does not even try |
Acceptable by cap-and-trade and carbon tax proponents | |
Universally acceptable standard (Pcountry = Pglobal) | |
Reduces risks |